After producing each of the last two NCAA Tournament winners, it shouldn’t surprise anyone to see the Big-12 dominate college basketball during the 2022-23 regular season.
And it’s anyone’s guess which team will emerge victorious in this week’s conference tournament.
Fresh off yet another regular-season title, Kansas enters this week as the favorite (+270) to double down with a tournament victory at FanDuel, while Texas and Baylor are tied for the second-shortest odds (+380) ahead of Wednesday’s first round.
Will one of those three teams bolster their resume?
Or will one of the Big-12’s other dark-horse contenders make a late run at a high seed ahead of Selection Sunday?
Here are the odds to win the 2023 Big-12 Tournament, courtesy of FanDuel, and our best bet to win it:
2023 Big-12 Tournament betting odds (via FanDuel)
Who’s favored to win it?
Kansas won the Big-12 Tournament last year before cutting down the nets in the NCAA Tournament a few weeks later.
So it comes as no surprise to see the Jayhawks – who have won this tournament 12 times in 25 years – top the oddsboard once again after a dominant run to end the regular season.
Bill Self’s group shook off a three-game losing streak in mid-January to win nine of its last 11 games, including seven straight before Saturday’s 16-point loss at Texas.
Could that be a preview of what we see this week in Kansas City?
The Longhorns haven’t won three games in a row since early January, but they boast top-20 efficiency on both ends and have the depth to make a run in this tournament.
Don’t forget about Baylor, which has never won the Big-12 Tournament despite winning the national title in 2021 with two Elite Eight runs in the last 15 years.
The Bears beat Kansas and Texas in the regular season and are hard to beat when their backcourt is cooking.
Which sleepers are worth betting?
TCU has faced more adversity than the three teams above it on the oddsboard, but Jamie Dixon’s group is as dangerous as any in this tournament.
The Horned Frogs went 17-5 this year when leading scorer Mike Miles (17.2 PPG) played five or more minutes, which included wins over Kansas, Texas and Baylor.
TCU also plays tremendous defense and would benefit more from a win than any non-bubble team in the conference.
If you’re looking for a long shot, keep an eye on Iowa State.
The Cyclones lost eight of their last 11 games to close the year, but their defense boasts the nation’s second-highest turnover rate (25.3%) and forces teams to beat them from outside.
If Baylor or Kansas can’t stay hot from deep, they could be on upset alert on that side of the bracket.
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Big-12 Tournament pick and prediction
I’ll be honest: I don’t love this number on the Horned Frogs, who are dealing as high as 9/1 at other shops. But if you can get TCU at anything better than 6/1, I’d be all over it.
This is one of the best teams in the country when Miles and big man Eddie Lampkin are on the court at the same time, which has been all too rare for this team over the back half of the season.
While the latter is still working his way back from injury, I expect both to be featured heavily in this tournament, which should pay dividends for TCU as it fights for a top-four seed in the big dance.