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76ers vs. Mavericks prediction, odds, line, start time: 2023 NBA picks, March 2 best bets from proven model



The Dallas Mavericks will be in the spotlight Thursday evening when the Philadelphia 76ers come to town. The Mavs are 32-31 overall this season and tenuously sitting seventh in the Western Conference standings with five teams behind them that are within 2.5 games. The Sixers sit comfortably at third in the East, and they are 40-21 overall, with a 16-11 road record. Joel Embiid (foot) is probable to play after missing Wednesday’s win over Miami.

Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET in Dallas. Caesars Sportsbook lists Dallas as the 3.5-point favorite in the latest Mavericks vs. 76ers odds. The over/under for total points is set at 229. Before making any 76ers vs. Mavericks picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 20 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 57-30 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,300. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Sixers vs. Mavs and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Mavs vs. Sixers:

  • 76ers vs. Mavericks spread: Mavericks -3.5
  • 76ers vs. Mavericks over/under: 229 points
  • 76ers vs. Mavericks money line: Mavericks -155, 76ers +130
  • PHI: The 76ers are 5-2-1 against the spread with no rest
  • DAL: The Mavericks are 10-19-3 against the spread in home games
  • 76ers vs. Mavericks picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Dallas Mavericks vs. Philadelphia 76ers

Why the 76ers can cover

Many of the betting trends are favorable for the Sixers in this matchup. They’ve been one of the NBA’s best teams against the spread this season with a 35-25-1 ATS mark, which is third-best in the league. They’ve also thrived on the second half of a back-to-back, going 5-2-1 ATS in that scenario.

James Harden (21.6 points per game), Tyrese Maxey (19.6 PPG) and Tobias Harris (15.3 PPG) can pick up the scoring load if needed with Embiid not at full strength. Harden is especially hot from 3-point range recently, knocking down 44.1% from deep since the All-Star break. Maxey, meanwhile, had a huge night on Wednesday with 27 points, seven assists, four rebounds and no turnovers in the win over Miami. 

Why the Mavericks can cover

Dallas is led by an elite offensive duo with Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving. Doncic is averaging 33.2 points, 8.8 rebounds and 8.1 assists per game, and he is in the top five of the NBA in total points, assists and free throw attempts this season. Doncic is flanked by Irving, who is averaging 24.7 points, 6.9 assists and 5.1 rebounds since joining Dallas via mid-season trade. The Mavericks are in the top seven of the NBA in offensive rating, scoring nearly 1.16 points per possession, and Dallas takes care of the ball at an elite level. 

The Mavericks commit a turnover on only 12.6% of offensive possessions, and Dallas is also buoyed by 26.0 free throw attempts per game. Dallas is also in the top five of the league in 3-pointers (14.9 per game) and 2-point percentage (57.5%), with a clear path to success on defense and home-court advantage. In fact, the Mavericks are out-scoring opponents by 4.8 points per 100 possessions in home games this season, and Philadelphia arrives on the second night of a difficult back-to-back situation with travel between games.

How to make Mavericks vs. 76ers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 233 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins 76ers vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.

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