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Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

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The Atlanta Hawks (32-32) visit Miami-Dade Arena to battle the Miami Heat (34-31) Monday. Tip is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Heat are 2-1 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) against Atlanta this season. Miami beat Atlanta 117-109 Saturday, covering as a 3-point home favorite as the Under (227) connected.

Miami has covered just 2 of its last 8 games and is just 2-6 SU over that span as well. The Heat are 24-39-2 ATS on the season and 29-36 O/U. They rank last in the NBA in points per game (108.1).

The Hawks have covered just 2 of their last 7 games and are 4-5 ATS over their last 9. They are 28-36 ATS on the season and 36-28 O/U. Atlanta ranks 7th in the league in points per game (117).

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Hawks at Heat odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Hawks +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Heat -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +2.5 (-105) | Heat -2.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Hawks at Heat key injuries

Hawks

Heat

  • Kevin Love (rib) probable
  • G Kyle Lowry (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Hawks at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 115, Hawks 110

Moneyline

PASS.

Although I think the Heat (-155) will win they haven’t been consistent enough lately to risk the extra juice in what might be a tight game.

Atlanta (+135) also hasn’t been good enough on the road to wager on here, despite the plus-money odds. It is just 14-19 straight up away from State Farm Arena.

Against the spread

LEAN HEAT -2.5 (-115).

The Hawks are just 14-18-1 ATS this season on the road and while the Heat haven’t been great for betters either, they were able to defeat the Hawks by 8 points Saturday as they limited Hawks G Trae Young. Miami shot 7 fewer free throws and had 3 more turnovers and still managed to secure the victory.

Expect Miami to be better in the rematch, and that should aid their ability to produce a similar result. The Heat would have covered this spread in their last 5 home games against Atlanta.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 229.5 (-115).

The Heat are 1-4 O/U in their last 5 games and have scored 110 or fewer points in 8 of their last 10. It has been their defense that has been problematic lately, and they still held Atlanta to 109 Saturday.

The Hawks are 0-2 O/U in their last 2 outings and 4-6 O/U in their last 10 games. Against G Jimmy Butler and C Bam Adebayo, the Hawks’ dynamic backcourt may struggle.

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