Raptors vs. Wizards prediction, odds, line, start time: 2023 NBA picks, March 4 best bets from proven model

Capital One Arena hosts a matinee Eastern Conference battle on Saturday. The Toronto Raptors visit the Washington Wizards for a rematch of a game that took place on Thursday evening. Washington won the first matchup by an 11-point margin, and the Wizards are 6-3 in the last nine games, improving to 30-32. Toronto is 31-33 overall and 11-20 on the road. Monte Morris (back) is out for the Wizards, with Otto Porter Jr. (foot) ruled out for the Raptors.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Toronto as the 2-point favorite for this 5 p.m. ET tip. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 222.5 in the latest Raptors vs. Wizards odds. Before making any Wizards vs. Raptors picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 20 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 57-30 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,300. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Raptors vs. Wizards and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Wizards vs. Raptors:

• Raptors vs. Wizards spread: Raptors -2
• Raptors vs. Wizards over/under: 222.5 points
• Raptors vs. Wizards money line: Raptors -120, Wizards +100
• TOR: The Raptors are 12-19 against the spread in road games
• WASH: The Wizards are 12-15-1 against the spread in home games
• Raptors vs. Wizards picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Raptors can cover

Toronto has extreme strengths on both sides of the floor this season, making things difficult for any opponent. The Raptors commit the fewest turnovers (11.9 per game) in the NBA, and the Wizards only generate 12.3 takeaways per game on defense. Toronto produces 1.96 assists for every turnover, the second-best ratio in the league, and the Raptors are in the top four of the NBA in offensive rebound rate (31.5%) and second-chance points (16.6 per game). 

Toronto also averages 17.5 fast break points per game, No. 3 in the NBA, and the Raptors generate almost 25 free throw attempts per contest. On defense, Toronto creates havoc, including 16.5 takeaways and 9.2 steals per game. That places the Raptors in the top three of the NBA in both categories, and Toronto blocks 5.3 shots per game. Toronto also leads the league with only 11.8 second-chance points allowed per contest.

Why the Wizards can cover

Washington defeated Toronto by a solid margin on Thursday, excelling on both ends of the floor. The Wizards allowed fewer than 1.07 points per possession in that matchup, holding Toronto to just 9 of 33 shooting from beyond the arc. On offense, Washington shot 51% from the field and 14-30 from 3-point range with 30 assists. The Wizards are shooting 48.5% from the field this season, a top-eight mark in the NBA, and Washington is in the top 10 in converting 55.7% of 2-point attempts. 

Toronto also has clear defensive weaknesses, giving up 49% shooting to opponents, including 37.5% from 3-point range. The Raptors are also in the bottom five of the NBA in assists allowed (26.1 per game) and No. 25 in the league in fast break prevention. Washington is also in the top six of the NBA in opponent shooting on defense, with Toronto struggling to the third-worst shooting efficiency in the league on offense.

How to make Wizards vs. Raptors picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 231 points. The model also says one side hits 60% of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Raptors vs. Wizards? And which side hits 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.