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What are the odds? How far are Scotland expected to go at Euro 2024



The opening game of Euro 2024 is now less than a week away and it will kick-off with the one we have all been waiting for since the group stage draw was made.

Steve Clarke will lead his Scotland team into the Allianz Arena in Munich to take on hosts Germany on Friday after the tournament’s opening ceremony.

It will be the national team’s first major tournament game abroad since the World Cup in France 26 years ago when they were also involved in the opening game when they took on then-world champions Brazil in Paris.

They haven’t played in a European Championships outside of the UK since Sweden away back in 1992 but have since been involved in Euro 96, held in England, and Euro 2020, held across the continent, when they played two games in Glasgow and one on London.

The last Scotland win at a Euros was in 1996 when they defeated Switzerland 1-0 at Villa Park thanks to a goal from Ally McCoist.

They will come up against the Swiss again this summer in the second game of the group before finishing Group A with a game against Hungary.

But how well are Scotland expected to do? Can they get a result against Germany in the opening game? Can they reach the knockout stages for the first time ever? Could they even do the unthinkable and go all the way to the final in Berlin on July 14?

We take a look at the currents odds markets.

Outright win: 150/1

Scotland are unsurprisingly considered one of the outsiders to go all way with odds on Andy Robertson getting his hands on the trophy around 150/1.

That is in stark contrast to the UK bookmakers’ favourites England who are 3/1, World Cup finalists France who are 4/1 and hosts Germany at 9/2.

Current champions Italy might represent a good bet for some with odds as high as 18/1 for them to retain the trophy.

Steve Clarke’s men aren’t the rank outsiders, however, with the likes of Poland as high as 200/1, Romania 250/1 and you can get odds of 500/1 for all off Slovenia, Slovakia, Georgia and Albania.

Games against Germany, Switzerland and Hungary:

As would be expected Germany are odds on favourites for the opening game at 2/7 with Scotland as high as 12/1 to take all three points and 5/1 for the draw.

Against Switzerland the odds are a bit more even but Scotland remain second favourites at 5/2 to get a repeat of the win at Euro 96, the Swiss are 6/5 for the win with a draw also 5/2.

In the final group game against Hungary, that could decide Scotland’s fate, Steve Clarke’s side are 9/5 to get the win, with Hungary slightly shorter at 7/5 and a draw is 5/2.

To win group: 11/1

Scotland are the again the outsiders when it comes to who will finish at the top of Group A with odds of around 11/1 to finish ahead of Germany, Switzerland and Hungary.

The hosts are the clear favourites at 4/9, the Swiss are 6/1 and Hungary are considered just slightly more likely than Scotland with odds on 10/1.

To qualify from group: Evens

Some good news is that, with three teams from four from most groups reaching the last-16 – the top two in each group as well as the four best third placed sides, Scotland are as low as evens to reach the knockout stages for the first time in history.

Germany are 1/50, Switzerland are 2/5 and Hungary are 5/6.

To finish bottom of group: 11/10

Scotland are the favourites to finish bottom of Group A at 11/10, slightly ahead of Hungary at 11/8 with Switzerland at 9/2 and Germany 25/1.

Golden Boot:

If you think a Scotland player could win the Golden Boot by being the top scorer in the tournament then there are some high odds on offer for that one.

Hearts’ forward Lawrence Shankland, who was top scorer and Player of the Year in the Scottish Premiership last season, is considered the most likely from Clarke’s squad with odds of 150/1 for him to lead the scoring charts ahead of the likes of Harry Kane and Kylian Mbappe.

Che Adams is 200/1 with Aston Villa midfielder John McGinn ranked at around 250/1 for the Golden Boot.

Mbappe, who won the Golden Boot at the World Cup in 2022, is the out and out favourite to do it again at 9/2 with England captain Kane at 11/2 and 39-year-old legendary Portugal star Cristiano Ronaldo, who has scored more goals at the tournament that anyone else in history, is third favourite at 12/1.

Top scoring team: 200/1

For Scotland to be the top scoring team in Germany this summer you can get odds of 200/1 – Gareth Southgate’s England are the favourites at 10/3 followed by France at 15/4 and Germany at 9/2.

Lowest scoring team: 11/1

Steve Clarke’s men are as ranked as an 11/1 shot to be the score the least amount of goals at the tournament, making them fifth favourites behind Poland, 9/1, Georgia and Slovenia, both 8/1, and Albania at 4/1.

England are 250/1, Germany are 200/1 and France are 150/1.

To reach quarter-finals, semi-finals or final:

For Scotland to reach the last-eight you can get odds of around 5/1, their chances of reaching the semi-finals is ranked at 18/1 and if you think they all the way to the final in Berlin then most bookmakers will offer odds of around 50/1.

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